Exit polls and analysis for the 2024 primaries on Super Tuesday.
Some of today’s GOP primary voters have different expectations for candidates depending on if they support Trump or Haley.
We have observed this occurrence in previous competitions, and it is the same in Virginia, North Carolina, and California.
Voters who back ex-President Donald Trump are looking for a candidate who will advocate on behalf of individuals like themselves. Those who support ex-Governor Nikki Haley hope for a candidate who aligns with their beliefs or exhibits suitable composure.
Republican voters are still highly concerned about immigration and its impact on the economy.
The economy and immigration are the main concerns among voters.
Crucial for voters across the entire country.
Dealing with the problems: The financial state, immigration control, global emergencies.
Trump has a big advantage over Haley on whom primary voters trust to handle the economy and border security. And he also leads Haley on who would better handle an international crisis.
Possible reworded text: The Republican party’s stance on a nationwide abortion ban has caused disagreement among its members.
We have noticed variations among the states that have been surveyed in their opinions on a potential national prohibition of abortion in majority or all scenarios.
In California and specifically Virginia, a large majority of Republican voters in the primary are against implementing a prohibition. In North Carolina, the views among Republican primary voters are more split. (Similarly, in New Hampshire, the majority of GOP primary voters expressed opposition towards a ban.)
The majority of voters disagree with the claim that Trump is not mentally capable of holding office.
Haley has raised concerns about Trump’s suitability for the presidency, but it has not gained traction among the majority of voters. Some of Haley’s supporters believe Trump lacks the mental and physical capabilities to fulfill his duties, while some of Trump’s supporters hold the same belief about Haley.
GOP primary voters strongly disapprove of Biden and are dissatisfied with the current state of the nation.
The majority of Republican primary voters are highly against the job being done by President Biden, with significantly more strongly disapproving compared to those who somewhat disapprove.
Many citizens, including those who are upset, are dissatisfied with the current state of affairs in their nation.
This sentiment has endured throughout the primary election.
How about the concept of the “big lie”?
The majority of primary voters in North Carolina and California do not accept Joe Biden as the rightful winner of the 2020 election.
In past competitions where exit polls were administered, this pattern has been observed.
In Virginia, views are more diverse. (A smaller percentage of people identify as MAGA in Virginia in comparison to North Carolina, and one out of every 10 voters in this state are affiliated with the Democratic party.)
of a crime
Most people believe that Trump would still be qualified to hold office even if he were found guilty of a crime.
Based on exit polls in various states, a majority of voters believe that Trump would still be suitable for the role of presidency, even if he were to be convicted of a crime. This sentiment remains consistent as of the present day.
In states where the voter population leans towards moderation and independence, the majority has been smaller.
Currently in North Carolina and California, the general consensus is that even if convicted, Trump would still be considered suitable.
Views in Virginia vary more widely on this matter.
When was the decision made by voters?
Prior to the Iowa caucuses, a sizable number of primary voters in Virginia and North Carolina had already committed to their preferred candidate. Only a small minority, less than 20%, made their decision within the last week.
What occurs following the primaries?
According to the current exit polls, the majority of voters who chose Haley are not fully dedicated to voting for the Republican nominee.
(Note: In 2016, there was already some dissatisfaction with Trump among voters. In states with exit polls conducted, 75% of non-Trump voters stated they would not be satisfied with him as the nominee. During the general election, 90% of Republicans voted for Trump.)
A majority of Trump supporters, seeing their chosen candidate have a comfortable lead in the delegate race, affirm that they would cast their vote for the Republican nominee, regardless of who it may be.
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Source: cbsnews.com